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Comparison

Polymarket vs Kalshi (2026)

Polymarket is a self-custody, USDC-settled prediction market built on Polygon. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated event-contracts exchange that custodies funds in the US dollar banking system. They cover overlapping topics but operate under fundamentally different legal and technical regimes.

ফয়সালা

Choose Polymarket for global access, deeper liquidity on geopolitical and crypto markets, and a permissionless wallet-native experience. Choose Kalshi for US-domiciled traders who need a regulated venue, IRS-friendly tax forms, and dollar-denominated cash-equivalent settlement.

এক নজরে

PolymarketKalshi
Settlement assetUSDC.e on PolygonUSD held with Kalshi's clearing partner
CustodySelf-custody (you hold the wallet)Custodial — Kalshi holds the funds
Fees0%–1.8% taker, 0% makerPer-contract fee scaling with price
KYCWallet onlyFull KYC + SSN required
DepositsOn-chain transfer or Coinbase OnRampACH, debit card, wire
WithdrawalsOn-chain to your walletACH back to linked bank
GeographyBlocks US, UK, FR, DE, and 30+ jurisdictionsUS only (50 states + DC)
Public APICLOB + Gamma + Data, free, key-optionalPublic REST API with sign-up
CategoriesPolitics, crypto, sports, world eventsPolitics, weather, financial, sports
ResolutionUMA optimistic oracleKalshi internal resolution committee
সর্বোত্তম কার জন্য: Polymarket

Crypto-native traders, non-US residents, and arbitrageurs who want raw on-chain access via the CLOB API.

সর্বোত্তম কার জন্য: Kalshi

US residents who need a CFTC-regulated venue with bank-rail deposits and 1099 tax reporting.

সতর্ক থাকতে হবে

  • Polymarket blocks new orders from US residents and from many EU and Asia-Pacific jurisdictions; trading via VPN violates Polymarket's ToS.
  • Kalshi has thinner books on long-tail topics and applies per-contract fees that can dominate small-edge arbitrage.
  • Tax treatment differs: Kalshi issues 1099s; Polymarket does not, and you self-report.

FAQ

Can I run an arbitrage bot on both Polymarket and Kalshi?
Cross-platform arbitrage between Polymarket and Kalshi is technically possible but constrained by KYC, separate custody pools, and very different fee structures. PolyArb focuses on intra-Polymarket arbitrage, which avoids those frictions.
Is Kalshi cheaper than Polymarket?
It depends on price and category. Kalshi's fee scales with the contract price (peaking near $0.50), while Polymarket's taker fee is a flat percentage of notional, capped at 1.8%. For small-edge arbitrage, Polymarket is generally cheaper.
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PolyArb

PolyArb হলো Polymarket arbitrage বট যা YES/NO < $1 এবং combinatorial mispricings অনুযায়ী প্রতিটি binary ও multi-outcome বাজার স্ক্যান করে, তারপর 40ms ল্যাটেন্সে স্প্রেড লক করে — مقابل প্রতিযোগীদের ~800ms — এবং trade প্রতি $7.62 ন্যূনতম নিশ্চিত edge।

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