Análisis de mercados de Polymarket
Trump out as President by June 30?
Resumen
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Análisis de spread
No hay edge intra-market ahora mismo (la suma de los best asks está en o por encima de $1.00).
Las comisiones taker de Polymarket varían según la categoría entre 0% y 1.8%. Confirma siempre antes de dimensionar posiciones.
Resultados
| Resultado | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 4,5 % |
| No | 95,5 % |
Historial de precios
Últimos 7 días
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿De qué trata este mercado?
- Trump out as President by June 30? El mercado se resuelve el 30 jun 2026 según las reglas descritas en Polymarket.
- ¿Cómo funciona el arbitraje intra-market aquí?
- Si los precios de best ask de cada resultado suman menos de $1.00, puedes comprar cada resultado y quedarte garantizado con un pago de $1.00 sin importar cuál resuelva YES.
- ¿Cuáles son las comisiones?
- Las comisiones taker de Polymarket en esta categoría suelen estar entre 0% y 1.8%. Confirma la comisión en vivo en Polymarket antes de colocar órdenes.