Análisis de mercados de Polymarket
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May?
Resumen
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026 The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution. Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered. If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
Análisis de spread
No hay edge intra-market ahora mismo (la suma de los best asks está en o por encima de $1.00).
Las comisiones taker de Polymarket varían según la categoría entre 0% y 1.8%. Confirma siempre antes de dimensionar posiciones.
Resultados
| Resultado | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 46,0 % |
| No | 54,0 % |
Historial de precios
Últimos 7 días
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿De qué trata este mercado?
- Will OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May? El mercado se resuelve el 11 jun 2026 según las reglas descritas en Polymarket.
- ¿Cómo funciona el arbitraje intra-market aquí?
- Si los precios de best ask de cada resultado suman menos de $1.00, puedes comprar cada resultado y quedarte garantizado con un pago de $1.00 sin importar cuál resuelva YES.
- ¿Cuáles son las comisiones?
- Las comisiones taker de Polymarket en esta categoría suelen estar entre 0% y 1.8%. Confirma la comisión en vivo en Polymarket antes de colocar órdenes.