Análisis de mercados de Polymarket
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Resumen
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Análisis de spread
No hay edge intra-market ahora mismo (la suma de los best asks está en o por encima de $1.00).
Las comisiones taker de Polymarket varían según la categoría entre 0% y 1.8%. Confirma siempre antes de dimensionar posiciones.
Resultados
| Resultado | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 71,0 % |
| No | 29,0 % |
Historial de precios
Últimos 7 días
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿De qué trata este mercado?
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? El mercado se resuelve el 30 jun 2026 según las reglas descritas en Polymarket.
- ¿Cómo funciona el arbitraje intra-market aquí?
- Si los precios de best ask de cada resultado suman menos de $1.00, puedes comprar cada resultado y quedarte garantizado con un pago de $1.00 sin importar cuál resuelva YES.
- ¿Cuáles son las comisiones?
- Las comisiones taker de Polymarket en esta categoría suelen estar entre 0% y 1.8%. Confirma la comisión en vivo en Polymarket antes de colocar órdenes.