Análisis de mercados de Polymarket
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at The Villages on May 1?
Resumen
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit The Villages on May 1, 2026, 3PM ET (https://www.dailycommercial.com/story/news/local/2026/04/28/president-trump-set-to-visit-the-villages-in-florida-on-may-1-2026/89835008007/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during events at The Villages scheduled for May 1, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about Trump's visit to The Villages scheduled for May 1, 2026, 3PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Análisis de spread
No hay edge intra-market ahora mismo (la suma de los best asks está en o por encima de $1.00).
Las comisiones taker de Polymarket varían según la categoría entre 0% y 1.8%. Confirma siempre antes de dimensionar posiciones.
Resultados
| Resultado | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 49,5 % |
| No | 50,5 % |
Historial de precios
Últimos 7 días
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿De qué trata este mercado?
- Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at The Villages on May 1? El mercado se resuelve el 1 may 2026 según las reglas descritas en Polymarket.
- ¿Cómo funciona el arbitraje intra-market aquí?
- Si los precios de best ask de cada resultado suman menos de $1.00, puedes comprar cada resultado y quedarte garantizado con un pago de $1.00 sin importar cuál resuelva YES.
- ¿Cuáles son las comisiones?
- Las comisiones taker de Polymarket en esta categoría suelen estar entre 0% y 1.8%. Confirma la comisión en vivo en Polymarket antes de colocar órdenes.