Analisis ng market ng Polymarket
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Buod
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify. Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Analisis ng spread
Walang intra-market edge sa ngayon (ang kabuuan ng best asks ay nasa o mas mataas sa $1.00).
Ang Polymarket taker fees ay nag-iiba ayon sa kategorya mula 0% hanggang 1.8%. Laging kumpirmahin bago mag-size.
Mga kinalabasan
| Kinalabasan | Pinakamagandang ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 12.5% |
| No | 87.5% |
Kasaysayan ng presyo
Nakaraang 7 araw
Mga madalas itanong
- Ano ang tungkol sa market na ito?
- Iran coup attempt by June 30? Ang market ay mare-resolve sa Hun 30, 2026 batay sa mga patakaran na inilarawan sa Polymarket.
- Paano gumagana ang intra-market arbitrage dito?
- Kung ang mga best-ask price para sa bawat kinalabasan ay magkakasamang mas mababa sa $1.00, maaari mong bilhin ang bawat kinalabasan at makatitiyak ng $1.00 payout anuman ang mare-resolve na YES.
- Ano ang mga bayarin?
- Ang Polymarket taker fees sa kategoryang ito ay karaniwang nasa pagitan ng 0% at 1.8%. Kumpirmahin ang live na fee sa Polymarket bago maglagay ng mga order.