Analisis ng market ng Polymarket
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Buod
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 1, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on May 8, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Analisis ng spread
Walang intra-market edge sa ngayon (ang kabuuan ng best asks ay nasa o mas mataas sa $1.00).
Ang Polymarket taker fees ay nag-iiba ayon sa kategorya mula 0% hanggang 1.8%. Laging kumpirmahin bago mag-size.
Mga kinalabasan
| Kinalabasan | Pinakamagandang ask |
|---|---|
| Up | 34.5% |
| Down | 65.5% |
Kasaysayan ng presyo
Nakaraang 7 araw
Mga madalas itanong
- Ano ang tungkol sa market na ito?
- Trump approval Up or Down this week? Ang market ay mare-resolve sa May 9, 2026 batay sa mga patakaran na inilarawan sa Polymarket.
- Paano gumagana ang intra-market arbitrage dito?
- Kung ang mga best-ask price para sa bawat kinalabasan ay magkakasamang mas mababa sa $1.00, maaari mong bilhin ang bawat kinalabasan at makatitiyak ng $1.00 payout anuman ang mare-resolve na YES.
- Ano ang mga bayarin?
- Ang Polymarket taker fees sa kategoryang ito ay karaniwang nasa pagitan ng 0% at 1.8%. Kumpirmahin ang live na fee sa Polymarket bago maglagay ng mga order.