Analisis ng market ng Polymarket
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?
Buod
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft releases any new MAI model that is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A “new MAI model” refers to any model explicitly designated by Microsoft as part of its MAI (Microsoft AI) model family, including new base models or successors within that family. Any releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar variants will count for this market. Products labeled as outside of the MAI family will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Microsoft as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Microsoft (microsoft.ai), with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Analisis ng spread
Walang intra-market edge sa ngayon (ang kabuuan ng best asks ay nasa o mas mataas sa $1.00).
Ang Polymarket taker fees ay nag-iiba ayon sa kategorya mula 0% hanggang 1.8%. Laging kumpirmahin bago mag-size.
Mga kinalabasan
| Kinalabasan | Pinakamagandang ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 99.8% |
| No | 0.3% |
Kasaysayan ng presyo
Nakaraang 7 araw
Mga madalas itanong
- Ano ang tungkol sa market na ito?
- Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026? Ang market ay mare-resolve sa Hun 30, 2026 batay sa mga patakaran na inilarawan sa Polymarket.
- Paano gumagana ang intra-market arbitrage dito?
- Kung ang mga best-ask price para sa bawat kinalabasan ay magkakasamang mas mababa sa $1.00, maaari mong bilhin ang bawat kinalabasan at makatitiyak ng $1.00 payout anuman ang mare-resolve na YES.
- Ano ang mga bayarin?
- Ang Polymarket taker fees sa kategoryang ito ay karaniwang nasa pagitan ng 0% at 1.8%. Kumpirmahin ang live na fee sa Polymarket bago maglagay ng mga order.