Ano ang tungkol sa market na ito?

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026? Ang market ay mare-resolve sa Abr 23, 2026 batay sa mga patakaran na inilarawan sa Polymarket.

Paano gumagana ang intra-market arbitrage dito?

Kung ang mga best-ask price para sa bawat kinalabasan ay magkakasamang mas mababa sa $1.00, maaari mong bilhin ang bawat kinalabasan at makatitiyak ng $1.00 payout anuman ang mare-resolve na YES.

Ang Polymarket taker fees sa kategoryang ito ay karaniwang nasa pagitan ng 0% at 1.8%. Kumpirmahin ang live na fee sa Polymarket bago maglagay ng mga order.

Analisis ng market ng Polymarket

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

No edge

Ends Abr 23, 2026

24h Volume

$99,064

Liquidity

$19,635

Outcomes

Buod

On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918. This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify). Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.

Analisis ng spread

Walang intra-market edge sa ngayon (ang kabuuan ng best asks ay nasa o mas mataas sa $1.00).

Ang Polymarket taker fees ay nag-iiba ayon sa kategorya mula 0% hanggang 1.8%. Laging kumpirmahin bago mag-size.

Mga kinalabasan

Kinalabasan	Pinakamagandang ask
Yes	31.5%
No	68.5%

Kasaysayan ng presyo

Nakaraang 7 araw

Buksan sa Polymarket

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang tungkol sa market na ito?: Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026? Ang market ay mare-resolve sa Abr 23, 2026 batay sa mga patakaran na inilarawan sa Polymarket.
Paano gumagana ang intra-market arbitrage dito?: Kung ang mga best-ask price para sa bawat kinalabasan ay magkakasamang mas mababa sa $1.00, maaari mong bilhin ang bawat kinalabasan at makatitiyak ng $1.00 payout anuman ang mare-resolve na YES.
Ano ang mga bayarin?: Ang Polymarket taker fees sa kategoryang ito ay karaniwang nasa pagitan ng 0% at 1.8%. Kumpirmahin ang live na fee sa Polymarket bago maglagay ng mga order.