Ano ang tungkol sa market na ito?

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? Ang market ay mare-resolve sa Dis 9, 2026 batay sa mga patakaran na inilarawan sa Polymarket.

Paano gumagana ang intra-market arbitrage dito?

Kung ang mga best-ask price para sa bawat kinalabasan ay magkakasamang mas mababa sa $1.00, maaari mong bilhin ang bawat kinalabasan at makatitiyak ng $1.00 payout anuman ang mare-resolve na YES.

Ang Polymarket taker fees sa kategoryang ito ay karaniwang nasa pagitan ng 0% at 1.8%. Kumpirmahin ang live na fee sa Polymarket bago maglagay ng mga order.

Analisis ng market ng Polymarket

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?

No edge

Ends Dis 9, 2026

24h Volume

$59,075

Liquidity

$23,165

Outcomes

Buod

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).

Analisis ng spread

Walang intra-market edge sa ngayon (ang kabuuan ng best asks ay nasa o mas mataas sa $1.00).

Ang Polymarket taker fees ay nag-iiba ayon sa kategorya mula 0% hanggang 1.8%. Laging kumpirmahin bago mag-size.

Mga kinalabasan

Kinalabasan	Pinakamagandang ask
Yes	0.5%
No	99.6%

Kasaysayan ng presyo

Nakaraang 7 araw

Buksan sa Polymarket

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang tungkol sa market na ito?: Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? Ang market ay mare-resolve sa Dis 9, 2026 batay sa mga patakaran na inilarawan sa Polymarket.
Paano gumagana ang intra-market arbitrage dito?: Kung ang mga best-ask price para sa bawat kinalabasan ay magkakasamang mas mababa sa $1.00, maaari mong bilhin ang bawat kinalabasan at makatitiyak ng $1.00 payout anuman ang mare-resolve na YES.
Ano ang mga bayarin?: Ang Polymarket taker fees sa kategoryang ito ay karaniwang nasa pagitan ng 0% at 1.8%. Kumpirmahin ang live na fee sa Polymarket bago maglagay ng mga order.