Ano ang tungkol sa market na ito?

Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? Ang market ay mare-resolve sa Dis 31, 2026 batay sa mga patakaran na inilarawan sa Polymarket.

Paano gumagana ang intra-market arbitrage dito?

Kung ang mga best-ask price para sa bawat kinalabasan ay magkakasamang mas mababa sa $1.00, maaari mong bilhin ang bawat kinalabasan at makatitiyak ng $1.00 payout anuman ang mare-resolve na YES.

Ang Polymarket taker fees sa kategoryang ito ay karaniwang nasa pagitan ng 0% at 1.8%. Kumpirmahin ang live na fee sa Polymarket bago maglagay ng mga order.

Analisis ng market ng Polymarket

Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?

No edge

Ends Dis 31, 2026

24h Volume

$86,371

Liquidity

$9,951

Outcomes

Buod

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Analisis ng spread

Walang intra-market edge sa ngayon (ang kabuuan ng best asks ay nasa o mas mataas sa $1.00).

Ang Polymarket taker fees ay nag-iiba ayon sa kategorya mula 0% hanggang 1.8%. Laging kumpirmahin bago mag-size.

Mga kinalabasan

Kinalabasan	Pinakamagandang ask
Yes	0.7%
No	99.4%

Kasaysayan ng presyo

Nakaraang 7 araw

Buksan sa Polymarket

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang tungkol sa market na ito?: Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? Ang market ay mare-resolve sa Dis 31, 2026 batay sa mga patakaran na inilarawan sa Polymarket.
Paano gumagana ang intra-market arbitrage dito?: Kung ang mga best-ask price para sa bawat kinalabasan ay magkakasamang mas mababa sa $1.00, maaari mong bilhin ang bawat kinalabasan at makatitiyak ng $1.00 payout anuman ang mare-resolve na YES.
Ano ang mga bayarin?: Ang Polymarket taker fees sa kategoryang ito ay karaniwang nasa pagitan ng 0% at 1.8%. Kumpirmahin ang live na fee sa Polymarket bago maglagay ng mga order.