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Analisis ng market ng Polymarket

Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?

No edge
Ends May 3, 2026
24h Volume
$4,523
Liquidity
$619
Outcomes
2

Buod

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Analisis ng spread

Walang intra-market edge sa ngayon (ang kabuuan ng best asks ay nasa o mas mataas sa $1.00).

Ang Polymarket taker fees ay nag-iiba ayon sa kategorya mula 0% hanggang 1.8%. Laging kumpirmahin bago mag-size.

Mga kinalabasan

KinalabasanPinakamagandang ask
Yes31.3%
No68.8%

Kasaysayan ng presyo

Nakaraang 7 araw

Buksan sa Polymarket

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang tungkol sa market na ito?
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3? Ang market ay mare-resolve sa May 3, 2026 batay sa mga patakaran na inilarawan sa Polymarket.
Paano gumagana ang intra-market arbitrage dito?
Kung ang mga best-ask price para sa bawat kinalabasan ay magkakasamang mas mababa sa $1.00, maaari mong bilhin ang bawat kinalabasan at makatitiyak ng $1.00 payout anuman ang mare-resolve na YES.
Ano ang mga bayarin?
Ang Polymarket taker fees sa kategoryang ito ay karaniwang nasa pagitan ng 0% at 1.8%. Kumpirmahin ang live na fee sa Polymarket bago maglagay ng mga order.