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Analyse des marchés Polymarket

FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?

No edge
Ends 18 mai 2026
24h Volume
30 $US
Liquidity
1 044 $US
Outcomes
2

Résumé

As of market creation, the FDA's expected decision date for the specified application is May 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants full or conditional approval for Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu as a treatment for neoadjuvant treatment of adult patients with HER2-positive breast cancer by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An approval is defined as: For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application The following constitute qualifying approvals: Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit), Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints), Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS), Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs The following do not constitute qualifying approvals: Approvable letters that require additional actions before approval Tentative approvals pending patent or exclusivity expiration FDA requests for additional information or studies Extension of Prescription Drug User Fee Amendments dates Approval for compassionate use or expanded access programs only Approval only for export or for use outside the United States Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) without full approval Complete Response Letters (CRLs) indicating the application cannot be approved in its current form This market will immediately resolve to "No" if the FDA issues a Complete Response Letter (CRL) or explicitly declines to approve the application. If the drug sponsor withdraws the application before the end of the specified period, the market will resolve to "No" immediately. If the listed drug is approved before the end of the specified period, the market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of potential Advisory Committee votes against approval or later withdrawal of approval. Conditional approvals may include post-marketing requirements or commitments and still qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Analyse du spread

Pas d’edge intra-market pour le moment (la somme des best asks est égale ou supérieure à $1.00).

Les taker fees de Polymarket varient selon la catégorie entre 0% et 1.8%. Confirmez toujours avant de dimensionner une position.

Résultats

IssueMeilleure ask
Yes68,0 %
No32,0 %

Historique des prix

7 derniers jours

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Questions fréquentes

De quoi parle ce marché ?
FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu? Le marché se résout le 18 mai 2026 selon les règles décrites sur Polymarket.
Comment fonctionne l’arbitrage intra-market ici ?
Si les prix best ask de chaque issue totalisent moins de $1.00, vous pouvez acheter chaque issue et obtenir un paiement de $1.00 quel que soit celle qui se résout YES.
Quels sont les frais ?
Les taker fees de Polymarket pour cette catégorie sont généralement comprises entre 0% et 1.8%. Confirmez les frais en direct sur Polymarket avant de passer des ordres.