Analyse des marchés Polymarket
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Résumé
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Analyse du spread
Pas d’edge intra-market pour le moment (la somme des best asks est égale ou supérieure à $1.00).
Les taker fees de Polymarket varient selon la catégorie entre 0% et 1.8%. Confirmez toujours avant de dimensionner une position.
Résultats
| Issue | Meilleure ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 18,9 % |
| No | 81,2 % |
Historique des prix
7 derniers jours
Questions fréquentes
- De quoi parle ce marché ?
- Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? Le marché se résout le 30 avr. 2026 selon les règles décrites sur Polymarket.
- Comment fonctionne l’arbitrage intra-market ici ?
- Si les prix best ask de chaque issue totalisent moins de $1.00, vous pouvez acheter chaque issue et obtenir un paiement de $1.00 quel que soit celle qui se résout YES.
- Quels sont les frais ?
- Les taker fees de Polymarket pour cette catégorie sont généralement comprises entre 0% et 1.8%. Confirmez les frais en direct sur Polymarket avant de passer des ordres.