Analyse des marchés Polymarket
Will Kevin Warsh say "Interest Rate" during Nomination Hearing?
Résumé
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to participate in his Senate Nomination Hearing on April 21, 2026 at 10AM ET (https://www.banking.senate.gov/hearings/04/14/2026/nomination-hearing). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin Warsh says the listed term during the Nomination Hearing scheduled for April 21, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the Senate Nomination Hearing for Kevin Warsh scheduled for April 21, 2026, 10AM ET (https://www.banking.senate.gov/hearings/04/14/2026/nomination-hearing). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Analyse du spread
Pas d’edge intra-market pour le moment (la somme des best asks est égale ou supérieure à $1.00).
Les taker fees de Polymarket varient selon la catégorie entre 0% et 1.8%. Confirmez toujours avant de dimensionner une position.
Résultats
| Issue | Meilleure ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 90,5 % |
| No | 9,5 % |
Historique des prix
7 derniers jours
Questions fréquentes
- De quoi parle ce marché ?
- Will Kevin Warsh say "Interest Rate" during Nomination Hearing? Le marché se résout le 21 avr. 2026 selon les règles décrites sur Polymarket.
- Comment fonctionne l’arbitrage intra-market ici ?
- Si les prix best ask de chaque issue totalisent moins de $1.00, vous pouvez acheter chaque issue et obtenir un paiement de $1.00 quel que soit celle qui se résout YES.
- Quels sont les frais ?
- Les taker fees de Polymarket pour cette catégorie sont généralement comprises entre 0% et 1.8%. Confirmez les frais en direct sur Polymarket avant de passer des ordres.