Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? Pasar diselesaikan pada a future date berdasarkan aturan yang dijelaskan di Polymarket.

Bagaimana arbitrase intra-market bekerja di sini?

Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap outcome jumlahnya kurang dari $1.00, Anda dapat membeli setiap outcome dan dijamin mendapatkan pembayaran $1.00 terlepas dari mana yang diselesaikan sebagai YES.

Biaya taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Konfirmasi biaya live di Polymarket sebelum menempatkan order.

Analisis pasar Polymarket

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

No edge

24h Volume

US$40.013

Liquidity

US$12.841

Outcomes

Ringkasan

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah announced on April 16, 2026, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed extension to the halt in direct military engagement between Israel and Hezbollah, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Both extensions of the April 16 ceasefire and new agreements scheduled to take effect before or at the initial agreement's scheduled end will be considered extensions of the ceasefire agreement, provided there is no period during which no ceasefire is in effect. If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect. An extension of the ceasefire agreement requires clear public confirmation from both the Israeli government and Hezbollah that they have agreed to halt military hostilities against one another for longer than the initially agreed 10-day period, or for an official extension of the ceasefire agreement in place to be otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of media reporting. Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation, or unilateral pause in hostilities without a confirmed agreement on a qualifying extension will not qualify. Similarly, newly agreed-upon humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not qualify. A newly agreed-upon broader peace deal will qualify if it includes a qualifying extension of the ceasefire agreement/halt in military hostilities. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures, but do not explicitly commit to extending the ceasefire, will not qualify. This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli government and Hezbollah. However, an overwhelming consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire extension agreement has been reached will suffice.

Analisis spread

Tidak ada edge intra-market saat ini (jumlah best ask sama dengan atau di atas $1.00).

Biaya taker Polymarket bervariasi menurut kategori antara 0% dan 1.8%. Selalu konfirmasi sebelum menentukan ukuran posisi.

Outcome

Outcome	Best ask
Yes	67,0%
No	33,0%

Riwayat harga

7 hari terakhir

Buka di Polymarket

Pertanyaan yang sering diajukan

Apa pasar ini?: Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? Pasar diselesaikan pada a future date berdasarkan aturan yang dijelaskan di Polymarket.
Bagaimana arbitrase intra-market bekerja di sini?: Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap outcome jumlahnya kurang dari $1.00, Anda dapat membeli setiap outcome dan dijamin mendapatkan pembayaran $1.00 terlepas dari mana yang diselesaikan sebagai YES.
Berapa biayanya?: Biaya taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Konfirmasi biaya live di Polymarket sebelum menempatkan order.