Analisis pasar Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ringkasan
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward. Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Analisis spread
Tidak ada edge intra-market saat ini (jumlah best ask sama dengan atau di atas $1.00).
Biaya taker Polymarket bervariasi menurut kategori antara 0% dan 1.8%. Selalu konfirmasi sebelum menentukan ukuran posisi.
Outcome
| Outcome | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1,0% |
| No | 99,1% |
Riwayat harga
7 hari terakhir
Pertanyaan yang sering diajukan
- Apa pasar ini?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? Pasar diselesaikan pada 30 Apr 2026 berdasarkan aturan yang dijelaskan di Polymarket.
- Bagaimana arbitrase intra-market bekerja di sini?
- Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap outcome jumlahnya kurang dari $1.00, Anda dapat membeli setiap outcome dan dijamin mendapatkan pembayaran $1.00 terlepas dari mana yang diselesaikan sebagai YES.
- Berapa biayanya?
- Biaya taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Konfirmasi biaya live di Polymarket sebelum menempatkan order.