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Analisis pasar Polymarket

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

No edge
Ends 21 Apr 2026
24h Volume
US$815.700
Liquidity
US$28.049
Outcomes
2

Ringkasan

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Analisis spread

Tidak ada edge intra-market saat ini (jumlah best ask sama dengan atau di atas $1.00).

Biaya taker Polymarket bervariasi menurut kategori antara 0% dan 1.8%. Selalu konfirmasi sebelum menentukan ukuran posisi.

Outcome

OutcomeBest ask
Yes24,5%
No75,5%

Riwayat harga

7 hari terakhir

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Pertanyaan yang sering diajukan

Apa pasar ini?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? Pasar diselesaikan pada 21 Apr 2026 berdasarkan aturan yang dijelaskan di Polymarket.
Bagaimana arbitrase intra-market bekerja di sini?
Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap outcome jumlahnya kurang dari $1.00, Anda dapat membeli setiap outcome dan dijamin mendapatkan pembayaran $1.00 terlepas dari mana yang diselesaikan sebagai YES.
Berapa biayanya?
Biaya taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Konfirmasi biaya live di Polymarket sebelum menempatkan order.