Analisis pasar Polymarket
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ringkasan
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify. A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met: - The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria. - Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Analisis spread
Tidak ada edge intra-market saat ini (jumlah best ask sama dengan atau di atas $1.00).
Biaya taker Polymarket bervariasi menurut kategori antara 0% dan 1.8%. Selalu konfirmasi sebelum menentukan ukuran posisi.
Outcome
| Outcome | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 70,5% |
| No | 29,5% |
Riwayat harga
7 hari terakhir
Pertanyaan yang sering diajukan
- Apa pasar ini?
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Pasar diselesaikan pada 31 Mei 2026 berdasarkan aturan yang dijelaskan di Polymarket.
- Bagaimana arbitrase intra-market bekerja di sini?
- Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap outcome jumlahnya kurang dari $1.00, Anda dapat membeli setiap outcome dan dijamin mendapatkan pembayaran $1.00 terlepas dari mana yang diselesaikan sebagai YES.
- Berapa biayanya?
- Biaya taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Konfirmasi biaya live di Polymarket sebelum menempatkan order.