Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? Pasar diselesaikan pada 10 Mei 2026 berdasarkan aturan yang dijelaskan di Polymarket.

Bagaimana arbitrase intra-market bekerja di sini?

Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap outcome jumlahnya kurang dari $1.00, Anda dapat membeli setiap outcome dan dijamin mendapatkan pembayaran $1.00 terlepas dari mana yang diselesaikan sebagai YES.

Biaya taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Konfirmasi biaya live di Polymarket sebelum menempatkan order.

Analisis pasar Polymarket

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

No edge

Ends 10 Mei 2026

24h Volume

US$158

Liquidity

US$11.287

Outcomes

Ringkasan

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 4, 2026, through May 10, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Analisis spread

Tidak ada edge intra-market saat ini (jumlah best ask sama dengan atau di atas $1.00).

Biaya taker Polymarket bervariasi menurut kategori antara 0% dan 1.8%. Selalu konfirmasi sebelum menentukan ukuran posisi.

Outcome

Outcome	Best ask
Yes	9,5%
No	90,5%

Riwayat harga

7 hari terakhir

Buka di Polymarket

Pertanyaan yang sering diajukan

Apa pasar ini?: Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? Pasar diselesaikan pada 10 Mei 2026 berdasarkan aturan yang dijelaskan di Polymarket.
Bagaimana arbitrase intra-market bekerja di sini?: Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap outcome jumlahnya kurang dari $1.00, Anda dapat membeli setiap outcome dan dijamin mendapatkan pembayaran $1.00 terlepas dari mana yang diselesaikan sebagai YES.
Berapa biayanya?: Biaya taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Konfirmasi biaya live di Polymarket sebelum menempatkan order.