Analisis pasar Polymarket
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ringkasan
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Analisis spread
Tidak ada edge intra-market saat ini (jumlah best ask sama dengan atau di atas $1.00).
Biaya taker Polymarket bervariasi menurut kategori antara 0% dan 1.8%. Selalu konfirmasi sebelum menentukan ukuran posisi.
Outcome
| Outcome | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 0,6% |
| No | 99,5% |
Riwayat harga
7 hari terakhir
Pertanyaan yang sering diajukan
- Apa pasar ini?
- Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? Pasar diselesaikan pada 19 Apr 2026 berdasarkan aturan yang dijelaskan di Polymarket.
- Bagaimana arbitrase intra-market bekerja di sini?
- Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap outcome jumlahnya kurang dari $1.00, Anda dapat membeli setiap outcome dan dijamin mendapatkan pembayaran $1.00 terlepas dari mana yang diselesaikan sebagai YES.
- Berapa biayanya?
- Biaya taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Konfirmasi biaya live di Polymarket sebelum menempatkan order.