Analisis pasar Polymarket
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?
Ringkasan
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control. Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Analisis spread
Tidak ada edge intra-market saat ini (jumlah best ask sama dengan atau di atas $1.00).
Biaya taker Polymarket bervariasi menurut kategori antara 0% dan 1.8%. Selalu konfirmasi sebelum menentukan ukuran posisi.
Outcome
| Outcome | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 0,6% |
| No | 99,5% |
Riwayat harga
7 hari terakhir
Pertanyaan yang sering diajukan
- Apa pasar ini?
- Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026? Pasar diselesaikan pada 30 Apr 2026 berdasarkan aturan yang dijelaskan di Polymarket.
- Bagaimana arbitrase intra-market bekerja di sini?
- Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap outcome jumlahnya kurang dari $1.00, Anda dapat membeli setiap outcome dan dijamin mendapatkan pembayaran $1.00 terlepas dari mana yang diselesaikan sebagai YES.
- Berapa biayanya?
- Biaya taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Konfirmasi biaya live di Polymarket sebelum menempatkan order.