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Analisi dei mercati Polymarket

GPT-5.5 released by April 21, 2026?

No edge
Ends 21 apr 2026
24h Volume
724 USD
Liquidity
3918 USD
Outcomes
2

Sommario

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Analisi dello spread

Al momento non ci sono edge intra-market (la somma dei best ask è pari o superiore a $1.00).

Le taker fee di Polymarket variano per categoria tra 0% e 1.8%. Conferma sempre prima di dimensionare la posizione.

Esiti

EsitoBest ask
Yes1,4%
No98,7%

Storico dei prezzi

Ultimi 7 giorni

Apri su Polymarket

Domande frequenti

Di cosa tratta questo mercato?
GPT-5.5 released by April 21, 2026? Il mercato si risolve il 21 apr 2026 in base alle regole descritte su Polymarket.
Come funziona l'arbitraggio intra-market qui?
Se i prezzi best-ask di ogni esito sommano a meno di $1.00, puoi comprare ogni esito e ottenere un pagamento di $1.00 indipendentemente da quale risulti YES.
Quali sono le commissioni?
Le taker fee di Polymarket per questa categoria sono tipicamente tra 0% e 1.8%. Conferma la fee corrente su Polymarket prima di piazzare ordini.