Di cosa tratta questo mercato?

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May? Il mercato si risolve il 1 giu 2026 in base alle regole descritte su Polymarket.

Come funziona l'arbitraggio intra-market qui?

Se i prezzi best-ask di ogni esito sommano a meno di $1.00, puoi comprare ogni esito e ottenere un pagamento di $1.00 indipendentemente da quale risulti YES.

Quali sono le commissioni?

Le taker fee di Polymarket per questa categoria sono tipicamente tra 0% e 1.8%. Conferma la fee corrente su Polymarket prima di piazzare ordini.

Analisi dei mercati Polymarket

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May?

No edge

Ends 1 giu 2026

24h Volume

1498 USD

Liquidity

966 USD

Outcomes

Sommario

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For Natural Gas futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as the third last business day of the month prior to the contract month, consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month Natural Gas futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month Natural Gas (NG) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Analisi dello spread

Al momento non ci sono edge intra-market (la somma dei best ask è pari o superiore a $1.00).

Le taker fee di Polymarket variano per categoria tra 0% e 1.8%. Conferma sempre prima di dimensionare la posizione.

Esiti

Esito	Best ask
Yes	26,0%
No	74,0%

Storico dei prezzi

Ultimi 7 giorni

Apri su Polymarket

Domande frequenti

Di cosa tratta questo mercato?: Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May? Il mercato si risolve il 1 giu 2026 in base alle regole descritte su Polymarket.
Come funziona l'arbitraggio intra-market qui?: Se i prezzi best-ask di ogni esito sommano a meno di $1.00, puoi comprare ogni esito e ottenere un pagamento di $1.00 indipendentemente da quale risulti YES.
Quali sono le commissioni?: Le taker fee di Polymarket per questa categoria sono tipicamente tra 0% e 1.8%. Conferma la fee corrente su Polymarket prima di piazzare ordini.