Analisi dei mercati Polymarket
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Sommario
This market will resolve according to the listed date (Pakistan Standard Time) on which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran occurs. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Analisi dello spread
Al momento non ci sono edge intra-market (la somma dei best ask è pari o superiore a $1.00).
Le taker fee di Polymarket variano per categoria tra 0% e 1.8%. Conferma sempre prima di dimensionare la posizione.
Esiti
| Esito | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 27,0% |
| No | 73,0% |
Storico dei prezzi
Ultimi 7 giorni
Domande frequenti
- Di cosa tratta questo mercato?
- Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? Il mercato si risolve il 10 mag 2026 in base alle regole descritte su Polymarket.
- Come funziona l'arbitraggio intra-market qui?
- Se i prezzi best-ask di ogni esito sommano a meno di $1.00, puoi comprare ogni esito e ottenere un pagamento di $1.00 indipendentemente da quale risulti YES.
- Quali sono le commissioni?
- Le taker fee di Polymarket per questa categoria sono tipicamente tra 0% e 1.8%. Conferma la fee corrente su Polymarket prima di piazzare ordini.