Trump approval Up or Down this week?

概要

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 1, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on May 8, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

スプレッド分析

アウトカム

価格履歴

過去7日間

よくある質問

このマーケットは何についてですか？

Trump approval Up or Down this week? このマーケットは Polymarket に記載されたルールに基づき、2026/05/09 に決済されます。

ここでのインターマーケット・アービトラージはどのように機能しますか？

すべてのアウトカムのベストアスク価格の合計が $1.00 未満であれば、各アウトカムを購入して、どれが YES に決まっても $1.00 の支払いを受けることができます。

手数料はどうなっていますか？

このカテゴリの Polymarket のテイカーフィーは通常 0% から 1.8% の範囲です。注文を出す前に Polymarket 上でライブの手数料を確認してください。