Polymarket マーケット分析
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?
概要
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell). This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting. Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify. If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
スプレッド分析
現在インターマーケットのエッジはありません（ベストアスクの合計が $1.00 以上です）。
Polymarket のテイカーフィーはカテゴリによって 0% から 1.8% の範囲で変動します。サイズを決める前に必ず確認してください。
アウトカム
| 結果 | ベストアスク |
|---|---|
| Yes | 96.6% |
| No | 3.4% |
価格履歴
過去7日間
よくある質問
- このマーケットは何についてですか？
- Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30? このマーケットは Polymarket に記載されたルールに基づき、2026/04/30 に決済されます。
- ここでのインターマーケット・アービトラージはどのように機能しますか？
- すべてのアウトカムのベストアスク価格の合計が $1.00 未満であれば、各アウトカムを購入して、どれが YES に決まっても $1.00 の支払いを受けることができます。
- 手数料はどうなっていますか？
- このカテゴリの Polymarket のテイカーフィーは通常 0% から 1.8% の範囲です。注文を出す前に Polymarket 上でライブの手数料を確認してください。