Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?

概要

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

スプレッド分析

アウトカム

価格履歴

過去7日間

よくある質問

このマーケットは何についてですか？

Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3? このマーケットは Polymarket に記載されたルールに基づき、2026/05/03 に決済されます。

ここでのインターマーケット・アービトラージはどのように機能しますか？

すべてのアウトカムのベストアスク価格の合計が $1.00 未満であれば、各アウトカムを購入して、どれが YES に決まっても $1.00 の支払いを受けることができます。

手数料はどうなっていますか？

このカテゴリの Polymarket のテイカーフィーは通常 0% から 1.8% の範囲です。注文を出す前に Polymarket 上でライブの手数料を確認してください。