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Polymarket 마켓 분석

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No edge
Ends 2026. 6. 30.
24h Volume
US$35,779
Liquidity
US$47,701
Outcomes
2

요약

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count. To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors). Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

스프레드 분석

현재 인트라마켓 에지가 없습니다(최선의 매도 합계가 $1.00 이상입니다).

Polymarket의 테이커 수수료는 카테고리별로 0%에서 1.8% 사이로 다릅니다. 포지션 규모 결정 전 항상 확인하세요.

결과들

결과최선의 매도가
Yes42.0%
No58.0%

가격 기록

지난 7일

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자주 묻는 질문

이 마켓은 무엇에 관한 것인가요?
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? 이 마켓은 Polymarket에 설명된 규칙에 따라 2026. 6. 30.에 결제됩니다.
인트라마켓 차익거래는 어떻게 작동하나요?
모든 결과의 최선 매도 가격 합이 $1.00 미만이면, 각 결과를 매수하여 어떤 결과가 YES로 결제되더라도 $1.00의 지급을 보장받을 수 있습니다.
수수료는 어떻게 되나요?
이 카테고리의 Polymarket 테이커 수수료는 일반적으로 0%에서 1.8% 사이입니다. 주문하기 전에 Polymarket에서 실시간 수수료를 확인하세요.