Polymarket 마켓 분석
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
요약
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify. A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met: - The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria. - Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
스프레드 분석
현재 인트라마켓 에지가 없습니다(최선의 매도 합계가 $1.00 이상입니다).
Polymarket의 테이커 수수료는 카테고리별로 0%에서 1.8% 사이로 다릅니다. 포지션 규모 결정 전 항상 확인하세요.
결과들
| 결과 | 최선의 매도가 |
|---|---|
| Yes | 69.5% |
| No | 30.5% |
가격 기록
지난 7일
자주 묻는 질문
- 이 마켓은 무엇에 관한 것인가요?
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? 이 마켓은 Polymarket에 설명된 규칙에 따라 2026. 5. 31.에 결제됩니다.
- 인트라마켓 차익거래는 어떻게 작동하나요?
- 모든 결과의 최선 매도 가격 합이 $1.00 미만이면, 각 결과를 매수하여 어떤 결과가 YES로 결제되더라도 $1.00의 지급을 보장받을 수 있습니다.
- 수수료는 어떻게 되나요?
- 이 카테고리의 Polymarket 테이커 수수료는 일반적으로 0%에서 1.8% 사이입니다. 주문하기 전에 Polymarket에서 실시간 수수료를 확인하세요.