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Analisis pasaran Polymarket

Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?

No edge
Ends 12 Mei 2026
24h Volume
USD 532
Liquidity
USD 12,131
Outcomes
2

Ringkasan

This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Analisis spread

Tiada edge intra-market sekarang (jumlah best asks adalah sama atau melebihi $1.00).

Yuran taker Polymarket berbeza mengikut kategori antara 0% dan 1.8%. Sentiasa sahkan sebelum menentukan saiz.

Keputusan

KeputusanBest ask
Yes18.5%
No81.5%

Sejarah harga

7 hari terakhir

Buka di Polymarket

Soalan lazim

Apakah pasaran ini?
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April? Pasaran akan diselesaikan pada 12 Mei 2026 berdasarkan peraturan yang diterangkan di Polymarket.
Bagaimana arbitrage intra-market berfungsi di sini?
Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap keputusan berjumlah kurang daripada $1.00, anda boleh membeli setiap keputusan dan dijamin pembayaran $1.00 tanpa mengira yang mana akan diselesaikan sebagai YES.
Apakah yuran yang dikenakan?
Yuran taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Sahkan yuran langsung di Polymarket sebelum meletakkan pesanan.