Analisis pasaran Polymarket
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ringkasan
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for June 2026, currently scheduled for June 16-17. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no June meeting takes place by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Analisis spread
Tiada edge intra-market sekarang (jumlah best asks adalah sama atau melebihi $1.00).
Yuran taker Polymarket berbeza mengikut kategori antara 0% dan 1.8%. Sentiasa sahkan sebelum menentukan saiz.
Keputusan
| Keputusan | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 4.5% |
| No | 95.5% |
Sejarah harga
7 hari terakhir
Soalan lazim
- Apakah pasaran ini?
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? Pasaran akan diselesaikan pada 17 Jun 2026 berdasarkan peraturan yang diterangkan di Polymarket.
- Bagaimana arbitrage intra-market berfungsi di sini?
- Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap keputusan berjumlah kurang daripada $1.00, anda boleh membeli setiap keputusan dan dijamin pembayaran $1.00 tanpa mengira yang mana akan diselesaikan sebagai YES.
- Apakah yuran yang dikenakan?
- Yuran taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Sahkan yuran langsung di Polymarket sebelum meletakkan pesanan.