Analisis pasaran Polymarket
Will Rhun ap Iorwerth be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?
Ringkasan
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Wales on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Wales; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Analisis spread
Tiada edge intra-market sekarang (jumlah best asks adalah sama atau melebihi $1.00).
Yuran taker Polymarket berbeza mengikut kategori antara 0% dan 1.8%. Sentiasa sahkan sebelum menentukan saiz.
Keputusan
| Keputusan | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 92.5% |
| No | 7.5% |
Sejarah harga
7 hari terakhir
Soalan lazim
- Apakah pasaran ini?
- Will Rhun ap Iorwerth be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections? Pasaran akan diselesaikan pada 7 Mei 2026 berdasarkan peraturan yang diterangkan di Polymarket.
- Bagaimana arbitrage intra-market berfungsi di sini?
- Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap keputusan berjumlah kurang daripada $1.00, anda boleh membeli setiap keputusan dan dijamin pembayaran $1.00 tanpa mengira yang mana akan diselesaikan sebagai YES.
- Apakah yuran yang dikenakan?
- Yuran taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Sahkan yuran langsung di Polymarket sebelum meletakkan pesanan.