Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 13 and 15 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election? Pasaran akan diselesaikan pada 23 Mei 2026 berdasarkan peraturan yang diterangkan di Polymarket.

Bagaimana arbitrage intra-market berfungsi di sini?

Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap keputusan berjumlah kurang daripada $1.00, anda boleh membeli setiap keputusan dan dijamin pembayaran $1.00 tanpa mengira yang mana akan diselesaikan sebagai YES.

Apakah yuran yang dikenakan?

Yuran taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Sahkan yuran langsung di Polymarket sebelum meletakkan pesanan.

Analisis pasaran Polymarket

Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 13 and 15 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

No edge

Ends 23 Mei 2026

24h Volume

USD 35

Liquidity

USD 86

Outcomes

Ringkasan

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala. If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

Analisis spread

Tiada edge intra-market sekarang (jumlah best asks adalah sama atau melebihi $1.00).

Yuran taker Polymarket berbeza mengikut kategori antara 0% dan 1.8%. Sentiasa sahkan sebelum menentukan saiz.

Keputusan

Keputusan	Best ask
Yes	23.0%
No	77.0%

Sejarah harga

7 hari terakhir

Buka di Polymarket

Soalan lazim

Apakah pasaran ini?: Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 13 and 15 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election? Pasaran akan diselesaikan pada 23 Mei 2026 berdasarkan peraturan yang diterangkan di Polymarket.
Bagaimana arbitrage intra-market berfungsi di sini?: Jika harga best-ask untuk setiap keputusan berjumlah kurang daripada $1.00, anda boleh membeli setiap keputusan dan dijamin pembayaran $1.00 tanpa mengira yang mana akan diselesaikan sebagai YES.
Apakah yuran yang dikenakan?: Yuran taker Polymarket untuk kategori ini biasanya antara 0% dan 1.8%. Sahkan yuran langsung di Polymarket sebelum meletakkan pesanan.