United States arbitrage World Cup FIFA 2026

Frequently asked questions

What are United States's odds to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

United States is currently priced at 1,3% implied probability on Polymarket's "Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" market — that's American odds of +7900. Odds update continuously as money moves.

Which group is United States in?

United States is in Group D of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, alongside Paraguay, Türkiye, Australia.

How does Polymarket arbitrage work on United States markets?

Polymarket lists multiple correlated markets for every World Cup contender — tournament winner, group winner, top scorer, exact-stage exit. When prices across these correlated markets break the no-arbitrage condition (best-asks summing below $1.00), there is a guaranteed-edge trade. The Polymarket Arbitrage Bot scans every United States market continuously and fires Telegram + Discord alerts the moment net edge clears $7.62 per trade.

Are United States matches available on Polymarket per match?

Polymarket lists per-match markets in the days before each fixture. PolyArb subscribers get the alert the moment a United States per-match market goes live, plus every binary YES/NO mispricing across the tournament-winner and group-winner markets.