Polymarket 市场分析
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 23?
摘要
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 23 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 23 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Spread 分析
当前没有市场内 Edge（最佳卖价之和等于或高于 $1.00）。
Polymarket 的 taker 费用按分类在 0% 到 1.8% 之间。下单前务必确认。
结果
| 结果 | 最佳卖价 |
|---|---|
| Up | 2.9% |
| Down | 97.2% |
价格历史
过去 7 天
常见问题
- 这个市场是关于什么的？
- Bitcoin Up or Down on April 23? 该市场将于 2026年4月23日 结算，结算规则见 Polymarket 上的说明。
- 这里的市场内套利是如何运作的？
- 如果每个结果的最佳卖价之和低于 $1.00，你可以买入所有结果，从而无论哪个结果为 YES，都能获得 $1.00 的支付。
- 费用是多少？
- Polymarket 在该分类的 taker 费用通常在 0% 到 1.8% 之间。下单前请在 Polymarket 上确认实时费用。