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Polymarket 市场分析

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

No edge
Ends 2026年4月22日
24h Volume
US$11
Liquidity
US$442
Outcomes
2

摘要

This market is about whether Game 1 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game-ending action (Ancient destruction or midgame forfeit) occurs during a daytime phase of the base in-game clock. This market will resolve to "No" if the game ends during a nighttime phase. Temporary nighttime effects caused by hero abilities (e.g., Night Stalker's Dark Ascension) do not affect resolution, only the base day/night cycle timer is considered. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Spread 分析

当前没有市场内 Edge(最佳卖价之和等于或高于 $1.00)。

Polymarket 的 taker 费用按分类在 0% 到 1.8% 之间。下单前务必确认。

结果

结果最佳卖价
Yes100.0%
No0.1%

价格历史

过去 7 天

在 Polymarket 打开

常见问题

这个市场是关于什么的?
Game 1: Ends in Daytime? 该市场将于 2026年4月22日 结算,结算规则见 Polymarket 上的说明。
这里的市场内套利是如何运作的?
如果每个结果的最佳卖价之和低于 $1.00,你可以买入所有结果,从而无论哪个结果为 YES,都能获得 $1.00 的支付。
费用是多少?
Polymarket 在该分类的 taker 费用通常在 0% 到 1.8% 之间。下单前请在 Polymarket 上确认实时费用。