Polymarket 市场分析
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
摘要
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count. If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Spread 分析
当前没有市场内 Edge（最佳卖价之和等于或高于 $1.00）。
Polymarket 的 taker 费用按分类在 0% 到 1.8% 之间。下单前务必确认。
结果
| 结果 | 最佳卖价 |
|---|---|
| Yes | 0.5% |
| No | 99.5% |
价格历史
过去 7 天
常见问题
- 这个市场是关于什么的？
- Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? 该市场将于 2026年5月15日 结算，结算规则见 Polymarket 上的说明。
- 这里的市场内套利是如何运作的？
- 如果每个结果的最佳卖价之和低于 $1.00，你可以买入所有结果，从而无论哪个结果为 YES，都能获得 $1.00 的支付。
- 费用是多少？
- Polymarket 在该分类的 taker 费用通常在 0% 到 1.8% 之间。下单前请在 Polymarket 上确认实时费用。