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Polymarket 市场分析

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 1?

No edge
Ends 2026年5月1日
24h Volume
US$126,522
Liquidity
US$58,155
Outcomes
2

摘要

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on May 1, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.

Spread 分析

当前没有市场内 Edge(最佳卖价之和等于或高于 $1.00)。

Polymarket 的 taker 费用按分类在 0% 到 1.8% 之间。下单前务必确认。

结果

结果最佳卖价
Yes0.1%
No100.0%

价格历史

过去 7 天

在 Polymarket 打开

常见问题

这个市场是关于什么的?
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 1? 该市场将于 2026年5月1日 结算,结算规则见 Polymarket 上的说明。
这里的市场内套利是如何运作的?
如果每个结果的最佳卖价之和低于 $1.00,你可以买入所有结果,从而无论哪个结果为 YES,都能获得 $1.00 的支付。
费用是多少?
Polymarket 在该分类的 taker 费用通常在 0% 到 1.8% 之间。下单前请在 Polymarket 上确认实时费用。