Polymarket 市场分析
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 24-26 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
摘要
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Spread 分析
当前没有市场内 Edge（最佳卖价之和等于或高于 $1.00）。
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结果
| 结果 | 最佳卖价 |
|---|---|
| Yes | 27.0% |
| No | 73.0% |
价格历史
过去 7 天
常见问题
- 这个市场是关于什么的？
- Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 24-26 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election? 该市场将于 2026年5月17日 结算，结算规则见 Polymarket 上的说明。
- 这里的市场内套利是如何运作的？
- 如果每个结果的最佳卖价之和低于 $1.00，你可以买入所有结果，从而无论哪个结果为 YES，都能获得 $1.00 的支付。
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- Polymarket 在该分类的 taker 费用通常在 0% 到 1.8% 之间。下单前请在 Polymarket 上确认实时费用。