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Polymarket 市场分析

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

No edge
Ends 2026年4月30日
24h Volume
US$43,097
Liquidity
US$194,727
Outcomes
2

摘要

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Spread 分析

当前没有市场内 Edge(最佳卖价之和等于或高于 $1.00)。

Polymarket 的 taker 费用按分类在 0% 到 1.8% 之间。下单前务必确认。

结果

结果最佳卖价
Yes3.8%
No96.3%

价格历史

过去 7 天

在 Polymarket 打开

常见问题

这个市场是关于什么的?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? 该市场将于 2026年4月30日 结算,结算规则见 Polymarket 上的说明。
这里的市场内套利是如何运作的?
如果每个结果的最佳卖价之和低于 $1.00,你可以买入所有结果,从而无论哪个结果为 YES,都能获得 $1.00 的支付。
费用是多少?
Polymarket 在该分类的 taker 费用通常在 0% 到 1.8% 之间。下单前请在 Polymarket 上确认实时费用。