LIVE
$7.62 min profit is yours / per trade
Get the bot

Polymarket 市場分析

Will Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?

No edge
Ends 2026年5月6日
24h Volume
US$364
Liquidity
US$696
Outcomes
2

摘要

As of market creation, Disney is estimated to release earnings on May 6, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Disney’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.49 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.49 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Disney releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

價差分析

目前沒有場內邊際利差(最佳賣價總和等於或高於 $1.00)。

Polymarket 的 taker 費率依類別在 0% 到 1.8% 之間。下單前務必確認。

結果

結果最佳賣價
Yes93.6%
No6.5%

價格歷史

過去 7 天

在 Polymarket 開啟

常見問題

這個市場是關於什麼?
Will Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings? 該市場根據 Polymarket 上說明的規則,將於 2026年5月6日 結算。
這裡的場內套利如何運作?
如果每個結果的最佳賣價總和低於 $1.00,你可以買下每一個結果,無論哪一方最終為 YES,都能保證拿到 $1.00 的給付。
費用是多少?
Polymarket 在此類別的 taker 費通常介於 0% 到 1.8%。下單前請在 Polymarket 上確認即時費率。