Polymarket 市場分析
Iran leadership change by May 31?
摘要
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
價差分析
目前沒有場內邊際利差（最佳賣價總和等於或高於 $1.00）。
Polymarket 的 taker 費率依類別在 0% 到 1.8% 之間。下單前務必確認。
結果
| 結果 | 最佳賣價 |
|---|---|
| Yes | 8.5% |
| No | 91.5% |
價格歷史
過去 7 天
常見問題
- 這個市場是關於什麼？
- Iran leadership change by May 31? 該市場根據 Polymarket 上說明的規則，將於 2026年5月31日 結算。
- 這裡的場內套利如何運作？
- 如果每個結果的最佳賣價總和低於 $1.00，你可以買下每一個結果，無論哪一方最終為 YES，都能保證拿到 $1.00 的給付。
- 費用是多少？
- Polymarket 在此類別的 taker 費通常介於 0% 到 1.8%。下單前請在 Polymarket 上確認即時費率。