Will 290 to 319 tornadoes occur in the United States in May 2026?

摘要

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series). Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count. As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time. If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments. The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time. If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.

價差分析

結果

價格歷史

過去 7 天

常見問題

這個市場是關於什麼？

Will 290 to 319 tornadoes occur in the United States in May 2026? 該市場根據 Polymarket 上說明的規則，將於 2026年6月8日 結算。

這裡的場內套利如何運作？

如果每個結果的最佳賣價總和低於 $1.00，你可以買下每一個結果，無論哪一方最終為 YES，都能保證拿到 $1.00 的給付。

費用是多少？

Polymarket 在此類別的 taker 費通常介於 0% 到 1.8%。下單前請在 Polymarket 上確認即時費率。