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Polymarket 市場分析

Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No edge
Ends 2026年5月31日
24h Volume
US$51,031
Liquidity
US$38,623
Outcomes
2

摘要

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

價差分析

目前沒有場內邊際利差(最佳賣價總和等於或高於 $1.00)。

Polymarket 的 taker 費率依類別在 0% 到 1.8% 之間。下單前務必確認。

結果

結果最佳賣價
Yes0.2%
No99.9%

價格歷史

過去 7 天

在 Polymarket 開啟

常見問題

這個市場是關於什麼?
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? 該市場根據 Polymarket 上說明的規則,將於 2026年5月31日 結算。
這裡的場內套利如何運作?
如果每個結果的最佳賣價總和低於 $1.00,你可以買下每一個結果,無論哪一方最終為 YES,都能保證拿到 $1.00 的給付。
費用是多少?
Polymarket 在此類別的 taker 費通常介於 0% 到 1.8%。下單前請在 Polymarket 上確認即時費率。