Polymarket 市場分析
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?
摘要
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week. The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released. Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
價差分析
目前沒有場內邊際利差(最佳賣價總和等於或高於 $1.00)。
Polymarket 的 taker 費率依類別在 0% 到 1.8% 之間。下單前務必確認。
結果
| 結果 | 最佳賣價 |
|---|---|
| Yes | 97.3% |
| No | 2.7% |
價格歷史
過去 7 天
常見問題
- 這個市場是關於什麼?
- Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026? 該市場根據 Polymarket 上說明的規則,將於 2026年5月10日 結算。
- 這裡的場內套利如何運作?
- 如果每個結果的最佳賣價總和低於 $1.00,你可以買下每一個結果,無論哪一方最終為 YES,都能保證拿到 $1.00 的給付。
- 費用是多少?
- Polymarket 在此類別的 taker 費通常介於 0% 到 1.8%。下單前請在 Polymarket 上確認即時費率。