Polymarket 市場分析
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?
摘要
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 3, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 9, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
價差分析
目前沒有場內邊際利差(最佳賣價總和等於或高於 $1.00)。
Polymarket 的 taker 費率依類別在 0% 到 1.8% 之間。下單前務必確認。
結果
| 結果 | 最佳賣價 |
|---|---|
| Yes | 57.0% |
| No | 43.0% |
價格歷史
過去 7 天
常見問題
- 這個市場是關於什麼?
- Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week? 該市場根據 Polymarket 上說明的規則,將於 2026年5月9日 結算。
- 這裡的場內套利如何運作?
- 如果每個結果的最佳賣價總和低於 $1.00,你可以買下每一個結果,無論哪一方最終為 YES,都能保證拿到 $1.00 的給付。
- 費用是多少?
- Polymarket 在此類別的 taker 費通常介於 0% 到 1.8%。下單前請在 Polymarket 上確認即時費率。