Polymarket market analysis
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Summary
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Altmaier and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Daniel Altmaier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Spread analysis
No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).
Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.
Outcomes
| Outcome | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Daniel Altmaier | 40.5% |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 59.5% |
Price history
Last 7 days
Frequently asked questions
- What is this market about?
- Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo The market resolves on Apr 29, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
- How does intra-market arbitrage work here?
- If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
- What are the fees?
- Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.