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Live Polymarket odds · 48 teams · 12 groups · 16 host cities

2026 FIFA World Cup arbitrage on Polymarket

Every Polymarket 2026 World Cup market — winner odds, group-stage matches, knockout bracket, host cities — wired into the PolyArb scanner. We hunt mispricings across all 48 teams and 104 matches at 40ms latency, locking in $7.62 minimum guaranteed edge per trade.

Get the bot — $99/moKnockout bracket — Round of 32 to Final
Teams
48
Tournament
11 Jun – 19 Jul 2026
Host cities
16
Final
MetLife Stadium

Live winner odds — 2026 FIFA World Cup

Implied probabilities sourced directly from Polymarket's "Will {team} win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" market series. Refreshed every 10 minutes.

#TeamImplied %
1SpainGroup A16.1%
2FranceGroup C16.1%
3EnglandGroup B11.1%
4ArgentinaGroup G9.0%
5BrazilGroup H8.5%
6PortugalGroup E7.3%
7GermanyGroup D5.3%
8NetherlandsGroup F3.3%
9NorwayGroup B2.4%
10JapanGroup H2.3%
11BelgiumGroup G1.8%
12MoroccoGroup E1.8%
13ColombiaGroup J1.7%
14United StatesGroup A1.2%
15MexicoGroup C1.1%
16UruguayGroup I1.0%
17SwitzerlandGroup J1.0%
18CroatiaGroup I0.9%
19EcuadorGroup K0.7%
20TürkiyeGroup E0.7%
21SenegalGroup F0.7%
22CanadaGroup B0.6%
23AustriaGroup K0.6%
24SwedenGroup A0.6%

Polymarket prices are quoted in dollars per share. Multiply by 100 to read as a percent. Use our calculator to size a basket trade across multiple winner markets.

View this market on Polymarket

Group stage — all 12 groups

Every group of the 2026 World Cup, the four teams in each, and the live Polymarket winner odds for each side. Top two and best 8 thirds advance to the Round of 32.

Group A
5 teams
  • United States
  • Spain
  • Sweden
  • Qatar
  • DR Congo
Group B
5 teams
  • Canada
  • England
  • Norway
  • Jordan
  • New Zealand
Group C
4 teams
  • Mexico
  • France
  • Czechia
  • Uzbekistan
Group D
4 teams
  • Panama
  • Germany
  • Scotland
  • Iraq
Group E
4 teams
  • Haiti
  • Portugal
  • Türkiye
  • Morocco
Group F
4 teams
  • Curaçao
  • Netherlands
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina
  • Senegal
Group G
4 teams
  • Argentina
  • Belgium
  • Cape Verde
  • Egypt
Group H
4 teams
  • Brazil
  • Italy
  • Japan
  • Tunisia
Group I
4 teams
  • Uruguay
  • Croatia
  • South Korea
  • Algeria
Group J
4 teams
  • Colombia
  • Switzerland
  • Iran
  • Ghana
Group K
4 teams
  • Ecuador
  • Austria
  • Australia
  • Ivory Coast
Group L
4 teams
  • Paraguay
  • Denmark
  • Saudi Arabia
  • South Africa

All group-stage matches

Every group-stage fixture in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Each match links to a dedicated arbitrage page with the live Polymarket odds for both sides as winners and Polymarket's per-match markets where listed.

Group A
Group B
Group C
Group D
Group E
Group F
Group G
Group H
Group I
Group J
Group K
Group L

Host cities — USA, Canada, Mexico

16 host cities across three nations. Stadium capacities, match counts, and arrival airports for each.

New York / New Jersey
USA
8 matches
EWR
MetLife Stadium · 82,500 cap
Los Angeles
USA
8 matches
LAX
SoFi Stadium · 70,000 cap
Dallas
USA
9 matches
DFW
AT&T Stadium · 80,000 cap
Atlanta
USA
8 matches
ATL
Mercedes-Benz Stadium · 71,000 cap
Boston
USA
7 matches
BOS
Gillette Stadium · 65,000 cap
Houston
USA
7 matches
IAH
NRG Stadium · 72,000 cap
Kansas City
USA
6 matches
MCI
Arrowhead Stadium · 76,000 cap
Miami
USA
7 matches
MIA
Hard Rock Stadium · 65,000 cap
Philadelphia
USA
6 matches
PHL
Lincoln Financial Field · 69,000 cap
San Francisco Bay Area
USA
6 matches
SFO
Levi's Stadium · 68,500 cap
Seattle
USA
6 matches
SEA
Lumen Field · 69,000 cap
Toronto
Canada
6 matches
YYZ
BMO Field · 45,000 cap
Vancouver
Canada
7 matches
YVR
BC Place · 54,500 cap
Mexico City
Mexico
5 matches
MEX
Estadio Azteca · 87,000 cap
Guadalajara
Mexico
4 matches
GDL
Estadio Akron · 49,000 cap
Monterrey
Mexico
4 matches
MTY
Estadio BBVA · 53,500 cap

Top 10 favourites to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup

Live Polymarket implied probabilities. Each team links to a dedicated arbitrage page with their group, opponents, and the bot's tracked markets.

  1. 1
    Spain
    Group A · UEFA
    16.1%
    +523
  2. 2
    France
    Group C · UEFA
    16.1%
    +523
  3. 3
    England
    Group B · UEFA
    11.1%
    +805
  4. 4
    Argentina
    Group G · CONMEBOL
    9.0%
    +1017
  5. 5
    Brazil
    Group H · CONMEBOL
    8.5%
    +1083
  6. 6
    Portugal
    Group E · UEFA
    7.3%
    +1279
  7. 7
    Germany
    Group D · UEFA
    5.3%
    +1805
  8. 8
    Netherlands
    Group F · UEFA
    3.3%
    +2977
  9. 9
    Norway
    Group B · UEFA
    2.4%
    +4155
  10. 10
    Japan
    Group H · AFC
    2.3%
    +4344

Key dates — 2026 FIFA World Cup

Group stage
2026-06-11
Round of 32
2026-06-28
Round of 16
2026-07-04
Quarter-finals
2026-07-09
Semi-finals
2026-07-14
Final
2026-07-19

The fastest Polymarket arbitrage bot on the 2026 FIFA World Cup

$7.62 minimum guaranteed edge per signal. 40ms median latency. Telegram and Discord alerts firing today on every World Cup market Polymarket lists.

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