Polymarket market analysis
Over 10,000 Pump.fun graduated tokens in April?
Summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if over 10,000 Pump.fun graduated tokens are recorded in April. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Dune Analytics, specifically the "Graduated Tokens" bar chart available at https://dune.com/adam_tehc/pumpfun. The total for April will be calculated as the sum of all daily bars during the month. A daily bar will be considered finalized once the next day’s bar is published. If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used. If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.
Spread analysis
No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).
Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.
Outcomes
| Outcome | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 3.6% |
| No | 96.4% |
Price history
Last 7 days
Frequently asked questions
- What is this market about?
- Over 10,000 Pump.fun graduated tokens in April? The market resolves on May 1, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
- How does intra-market arbitrage work here?
- If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
- What are the fees?
- Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.